Prediction of marathon performance time on the basis of training indices
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.4100/jhse.2011.63.05Keywords:
Exercise, Endurance, TrainingAbstract
The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship between marathon performance time (MPT) and some training factors recorded for a given number of weeks prior to a race. Twenty-two runners, age 28-54 years, participated as subjects in this investigation. They kept daily exercise records during their marathon training for an overall number of 46 races, whose marathon time ranged from 167 to 216 min. Among the several parameters investigated, MPT was found to be affected mainly by the mean distance run per week K, during the training period under observation, and by the mean training pace P. These two training parameters have been combined by a mathematical approach to give a correlation for the prediction of the mean marathon pace Pm (easily related to MPT), based on an 8-week training period, as follows: Pm (sec/km) = 17.1 + 140.0 exp[-0.0053 K(km/week)] + 0.55 P (sec/km). The above correlation is able to estimate the MPT with a SEE of about 4 min.
Downloads
References
Bale, P., Rowell, S., Colley, E. Anthropometric and training characteristics of female marathon runners as determinants of distance running performance. J Sports Sci. 1985; 3:115-126. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640418508729741
Billat, V.L., Demarle, A., Slawinski, J., Paiva, M., Koralsztein, J-P. Physical and training characteristics of top-class marathon runners. Med Sci Sports Ex. 2001; 33:2089-2097. https://doi.org/10.1097/00005768-200112000-00018
Billat, V.L., Demarle, A., Paiva, M., Koralsztein, J-P. Effect of training on the physiological factors of performance in elite marathon runners (males and females). Int J Sports Med. 2002; 23:336-341. https://doi.org/10.1055/s-2002-33265
Billat, V.L., Lepretre, P-M, Heugas, A-M, Laurence, M-H, Salim, D., Koralsztein, J-P. Training and bioenergetic characteristics in elite male and female Kenyan runners. Med Sci Sports Ex. 2003; 35:297-304. https://doi.org/10.1249/01.MSS.0000053556.59992.A9
Campbell, M.J. Predicting running speed from a simple questionnaire. Br J Sports Med. 1985; 19:142-144. https://doi.org/10.1136/bjsm.19.3.142
Faude, O., Kindermann, W., Meyer, T. Lactate Threshold Concepts: How Valid are They? Sports Med. 2009; 39:469-480. https://doi.org/10.2165/00007256-200939060-00003
Florence, S-I., Weir, J.P. Relationship of critical velocity to marathon running performance. Eur J Appl Physiol. 1997; 75:274-278. https://doi.org/10.1007/s004210050160
Foster, C., Daniels, J. Running by the numbers. Runner's World. 1975; 10:14-17.
Foster, C. VO2 max and training indices as determinants of competitive running performance. J Sports Sci. 1983; 1:13-22. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640418308729657
Grant, A.J.Y., Sharp, R.H., Aitchison, T.C. First time marathoners and distance training. Brit J Sports Med. 1984; 18:241-243. https://doi.org/10.1136/bjsm.18.4.241
Hagan, R.D., Smith, M.G., Gettman, L.R. Marathon performance in relation to maximal aerobic power and training indices. Med Sci Sports Ex. 1981; 13:185-189. https://doi.org/10.1249/00005768-198103000-00007
Hagan, R.D., Upton, S.J., Duncan, J.J., Gettman, L.R. Marathon performance in relation to maximal aerobic power and training indices in female distance runners. Br J Sports Med. 1987; 21:3-7. https://doi.org/10.1136/bjsm.21.1.3
Hoffman, M.D. Anthropometric characteristics of ultramarathoners. Int J Sports Med. 2008; 29:808-811. https://doi.org/10.1055/s-2008-1038434
Hoffman, M.D., Lebus, D.K., Ganong, A.C., Casazza, G.A., Van Loan, M. Body composition of 161-km ultramarathoners. Int J Sports Med. 2010; 31:106-109. https://doi.org/10.1055/s-0029-1241863
Joyner, M.J., Coyle, E.F. Endurance exercise performance: the physiology of champions. J Physiol. 2008; 586.1:35-44. https://doi.org/10.1113/jphysiol.2007.143834
Legaz, A., Munguía, D., Serveto, J.R. Physiological measures associated with marathon running performance in high-level male and female homogeneous groups. Int J Sports Med. 2006; 27:289–295. https://doi.org/10.1055/s-2005-865628
Roecker, K., Schotte, O., Niess, A.M., Horstmann, T., Dickhuth, H-H. Predicting competition performance in long-distance running by means of a treadmill test. Med Sci Sports Ex. 1998; 30:1552-1557. https://doi.org/10.1097/00005768-199810000-00014
Sjödin, B., Svedenhag, J. Applied physiology of marathon running. Sports Med. 1985; 2:83-99. https://doi.org/10.2165/00007256-198502020-00002
Slovic, P. Empirical study of training and performance in the marathon. Res Quart. 1977; 48:769-777.
Takeshima, N., Tanaka, K. Prediction of endurance running performance for middle-aged and older runners. Brit J Sports Med. 1995; 29:20-23. https://doi.org/10.1136/bjsm.29.1.20
Downloads
Statistics
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2011 Journal of Human Sport and Exercise
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Each author warrants that his or her submission to the Work is original and that he or she has full power to enter into this agreement. Neither this Work nor a similar work has been published elsewhere in any language nor shall be submitted for publication elsewhere while under consideration by JHSE. Each author also accepts that the JHSE will not be held legally responsible for any claims of compensation.
Authors wishing to include figures or text passages that have already been published elsewhere are required to obtain permission from the copyright holder(s) and to include evidence that such permission has been granted when submitting their papers. Any material received without such evidence will be assumed to originate from the authors.
Please include at the end of the acknowledgements a declaration that the experiments comply with the current laws of the country in which they were performed. The editors reserve the right to reject manuscripts that do not comply with the abovementioned requirements. The author(s) will be held responsible for false statements or failure to fulfill the above-mentioned requirements.
This title is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International license (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0).
You are free to share, copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format. The licensor cannot revoke these freedoms as long as you follow the license terms under the following terms:
Attribution — You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use.
NonCommercial — You may not use the material for commercial purposes.
NoDerivatives — If you remix, transform, or build upon the material, you may not distribute the modified material.
No additional restrictions — You may not apply legal terms or technological measures that legally restrict others from doing anything the license permits.
Notices:
You do not have to comply with the license for elements of the material in the public domain or where your use is permitted by an applicable exception or limitation.
No warranties are given. The license may not give you all of the permissions necessary for your intended use. For example, other rights such as publicity, privacy, or moral rights may limit how you use the material.
Transfer of Copyright
In consideration of JHSE’s publication of the Work, the authors hereby transfer, assign, and otherwise convey all copyright ownership worldwide, in all languages, and in all forms of media now or hereafter known, including electronic media such as CD-ROM, Internet, and Intranet, to JHSE. If JHSE should decide for any reason not to publish an author’s submission to the Work, JHSE shall give prompt notice of its decision to the corresponding author, this agreement shall terminate, and neither the author nor JHSE shall be under any further liability or obligation.
Each author certifies that he or she has no commercial associations (e.g., consultancies, stock ownership, equity interest, patent/licensing arrangements, etc.) that might pose a conflict of interest in connection with the submitted article, except as disclosed on a separate attachment. All funding sources supporting the Work and all institutional or corporate affiliations of the authors are acknowledged in a footnote in the Work.
Each author certifies that his or her institution has approved the protocol for any investigation involving humans or animals and that all experimentation was conducted in conformity with ethical and humane principles of research.
Competing Interests
Biomedical journals typically require authors and reviewers to declare if they have any competing interests with regard to their research.
JHSE require authors to agree to Copyright Notice as part of the submission process.
