The effects of match-playing aspects and situational variables on achieving score-box possessions in euro 2012 football championship
The aim of this study was to examine the independent and interactive effects of several match-playing aspects and situational variables on the probability of achieving score-box possessions in the 2012 European Championship. The non-clinical magnitude-based inferences methods was used to interpret the true effect of the performance indicators on the response variable. The logistic regression analysis in univariate perspective showed that the probability of achieving score-box possessions was greater in the second half than in the first (OR: 1.23, P<0.05, very likely positive effect), but it was lower when a team performed a direct attack rather than a possession play (OR: 0.49, P< 0.001, most likely negative effect), when the possession started in the right path of the field than in the left (OR: 0.69, P < 0.01, most likely negative effect), and when a team played against highest ranked team (from very to most likely negative effect). In multivariate perspective, the negative effect of the direct attack to the probability of achieving score-box possessions was confirmed, and an interactive effect showed that this outcome was greater in the knockout phase of the tournament than in the relative group-stage (OR: 0.62, P< 0.05, very likely negative effect).
Abt, G.A., Dickson, G., & Mummery, W.K. (2002). Goal scoring patterns over the course of a match: Analysis of the Australian National Soccer League. In Spinks, W., Reilly, T. & Murphy, A. Science and Football IV. London: Routledge.
Barreira, D., Garganta, J., & Anguera, T. (2011). In search of nexus between attacking game-patterns, momentaneous score and type of ball recovery in European Soccer Championship 2008. In M. Hughes et al. (Eds.), Research Methods and Performance Analysis, 226−237, Szombathely, Hungary.
Barreira, D., Garganta, J., Machado, J., & Anguera, M. T. (2014). Effects of ball recovery on top-level soccer attacking patterns of play. Revista Brasileira de Cineantropometria & Desempenho Humano, 16(1), 36-46.
Batterham, A. M., & Hopkins, W. G. (2006). Making meaningful inferences about magnitudes. International journal of sports physiology and performance, 1(1), 50-57. https://doi.org/10.1123/ijspp.1.1.50
Borrie, A., Jonsson, G. K., & Magnusson, M. S. (2002). Temporal pattern analysis and its applicability in sport: an explanation and exemplar data. Journal of sports sciences, 20(10), 845-852. https://doi.org/10.1080/026404102320675675
Bradley, P. S., Lago-Peñas, C., Rey, E., & Sampaio, J. (2014). The influence of situational variables on ball possession in the English Premier League. Journal Of Sports Sciences, 32(20), 1867-1873. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640414.2014.887850
Castellano, J., Casamichana, D., & Lago, C. (2012). The use of match statistics that discriminate between successful and unsuccessful soccer teams. Journal of Human Kinetics, 31, 137-147. https://doi.org/10.2478/v10078-012-0015-7
Collet, D. (2002). Modelling binary data. CRC press.
Duarte, R., Araújo, D., Correia, V., & Davids, K. (2012). Sports teams as superorganisms. Sports medicine, 42(8), 633-642. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03262285
Dufour, W. (1993). Computer-assisted scouting in soccer. Science and football II, 160-166.
Gómez, M. A., Gómez-Lopez, M., Lago, C., & Sampaio, J. (2012). Effects of game location and final outcome on game-related statistics in each zone of the pitch in professional football. European Journal of Sport Science, 12(5), 393-398. https://doi.org/10.1080/17461391.2011.566373
Gréhaigne, J.F., Mahut, B., & Fernandez, A. (2001). Qualitative observation tools to analyse soccer. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 1(1), 52-61. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2001.11868248
Hopkins, W. G. (2007). A spreadsheet for deriving a confidence interval, mechanistic and clinical inferences from p value. Sposrtscience 11, 16-20. Retrieved 28 June, 2016, from http://www.sportsci.org/2007/inbrief.htm#xcl2
Hopkins, W., Marshall, S., Batterham, A., & Hanin, J. (2009). Progressive statistics for studies in sports medicine and exercise science. Medicine & Science in Sports& Exercise, 41(1), 3-12. https://doi.org/10.1249/MSS.0b013e31818cb278
Hughes, C. F. (1990). The winning formula. London: William Collins.
Hughes, M., & Bartlett, R.M. (2002). The use of performance indicators in performance analysis. Journal of Sports Sciences, 20(10), 739-754. https://doi.org/10.1080/026404102320675602
Lago, C. (2009). The influence of match location, quality of opposition, and match status on possession strategies in professional association football. Journal Of Sports Sciences, 27(13), 1463-1469. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640410903131681
Lago-Ballesteros, J., Lago-Peñas, C., & Rey, E. (2012). The effect of playing tactics and situational variables on achieving score-box possessions in a professional soccer team. Journal of Sports Sciences, 30(14), 1455-1461. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640414.2012.712715
Werlayne S. S. Leite, Euro 2012: Analysis and Evaluation of Goals Scored, International Journal of Sports Science, Vol. 3 No. 4, 2013, pp. 102-106. https://doi.org/10.5923/j.sports.20130304.02
Mackenzie, R., & Cushion, C. (2013). Performance analysis in football: A critical review and implications for future research. Journal of Sports Sciences, 31(6), 639-676. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640414.2012.746720
Mitrotasios, M., & Armatas, V. (2014). Analysis of Goal Scoring Patterns in the 2012 European Football Championship. United States Sports Academy.
Pollard, R., & Reep, C. (1997). Measuring the effectiveness of playing strategies at soccer. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician), 46(4), 541-550. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9884.00108
Pratas, J., Volossovitch, A., & Ferreira, A. P. (2012). The effect of situational variables on teams' performance in offensive sequences ending in a shot on goal. A case study. The Open Sports Sciences Journal, 5(5), 193-199. https://doi.org/10.2174/1875399X01205010193
Rampinini, E., Impellizzeri, F. M., Castagna, C., Coutts, A. J., & Wisløff, U. (2009). Technical performance during soccer matches of the Italian Serie A league: Effect of fatigue and competitive level. Journal of Science and Medicine in Sport, 12(1), 227-233. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsams.2007.10.002
Ruiz-Ruiz, C., Fradua, L., Fernández-GarcÍa, Á., & Zubillaga, A. (2013). Analysis of entries into the penalty area as a performance indicator in soccer. European Journal of Sport Science, 13(3), 241-248. https://doi.org/10.1080/17461391.2011.606834
Sarmento, H., Marcelino, R., Anguera, M. T., CampaniÇo, J., Matos, N., & Leitao, J. C. (2014). Match analysis in football: a systematic review. Journal of sports sciences, 32(20), 1831-1843. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640414.2014.898852
Shafizadeh, M., Taylor, M., & Peñas, C. L. (2013). Performance consistency of international soccer teams in Euro 2012: A time series analysis. Journal of human kinetics, 38, 213-226. https://doi.org/10.2478/hukin-2013-0061
Sgro, F., Barresi, M., & Lipoma, M. (2015). The analysis of discriminant factors related to team match performances in the 2012 European Football Championship. Journal of Physical Education and Sport, 15(3), 460.
Sgrò, F., Aiello, F., Casella, A., & Lipoma, M. (2016). Offensive strategies in the European Football Championship 2012. Perceptual and motor skills, 123(3), 792-809. https://doi.org/10.1177/0031512516667455
Tenga, A., Holme, I., Ronglan, L.T., & Bahr, R. (2010a). Effect of playing tactics on goal scoring in Norwegian professional soccer. Journal of Sports Sciences, 28(3), 237-244. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640410903502774
Tenga, A., Holme, I., Ronglan, L. T., & Bahr, R. (2010b). Effect of playing tactics on achieving score-box possessions in a random series of team possessions from Norwegian professional soccer matches. Journal of Sports Sciences, 28(3), 245-255. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640410903502766
Winter, C., & Pfeiffer, M. (2016). Tactical metrics that discriminate winning, drawing and losing teams in UEFA Euro 2012®. Journal of sports sciences, 34(6), 486-492. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640414.2015.1099714
Yiannakos, A., & Armatas, V. (2006). Evaluation of the goal scoring patterns in European Championship in Portugal 2004. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 6(1), 178-188. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2006.11868366
Copyright (c) 2017 Journal of Human Sport and Exercise
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.