CONMEBOL Libertadores Cup: Altitude impact on goals and results in 16 years of soccer matches

Authors

  • Moisés Arturo Cabrera-Hernández University Institution National School of Sport, Colombia
  • Sergio Andrés García-Corzo University Institution National School of Sport, Colombia http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0678-7468
  • Camilo Ernesto Povea-Combariza National University of Colombia, Colombia
  • Luis Javier Tafur-Tascón University Institution National School of Sport, Colombia
  • Hugo Hurtado Lumen Gentium Catholic University Foundation, Colombia
  • José Rafael Tovar-Cuevas University del Valle, Colombia
  • Carlos Andrés Mosquera-Miranda University del Valle, Colombia
  • Daniel Felipe Grijalba-González University del Valle, Colombia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.14198/jhse.2023.181.04

Keywords:

Soccer, High altitude, Performance

Abstract

Background: The CONMEBOL Libertadores Cup, is the continent’s most important international club tournament. Teams are exposed to different altitudes with short acclimatization periods. The present study describe the effect of altitude on the results and goals of soccer club teams matches between 2000 and 2015 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores Cup. Materials & Methods: All home and away matches from the group phase onwards and which have been played at the traditional team venue were taken into account, thus, 2039 games were analysed. The teams were classified into altitude categories according to the physiological impact and registered hometown altitude. A Poisson´s generalized linear model was used to study the relationship between the altitude of both home and away teams and the number of goals scored for each team according to the altitude category. The probabilities that the home team winning, drawing, or losing the match were estimated using a regression model for ordinal variables and assuming a multinomial probability distribution with the logistic linkage. Factors as heat, temperature and general performance of the teams were not considered. Results: Home team scores more (2.62 goals) when the away team descends three altitude categories, followed by a descent of two altitude categories (2.01 goals) and an ascent of three altitude categories (1.89 goals). This is associated with an increase probability of winning for the home team, being 5.5 times more likely when the away team descends three altitude categories, 2.3 times more when it descends two categories, and 2.5 times more when it ascends three altitude categories. Conclusions: These findings suggest that the away team is more likely to lose a match when it has to descend two or three altitude categories and when it ascends three altitude categories.

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References

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Statistics

Statistics RUA

Published

2023-01-01

How to Cite

Cabrera-Hernández, M. A., García-Corzo, S. A., Povea-Combariza, C. E., Tafur-Tascón, L. J., Hurtado, H., Tovar-Cuevas, J. R., Mosquera-Miranda, C. A., & Grijalba-González, D. F. (2023). CONMEBOL Libertadores Cup: Altitude impact on goals and results in 16 years of soccer matches. Journal of Human Sport and Exercise, 18(1), 34–45. https://doi.org/10.14198/jhse.2023.181.04

Issue

Section

Performance Analysis of Sport

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